The latest pre-election poll results

Posted on 25 January 2010 by admin

We now have obtained the results of the latest pre-election poll conducted by a group of independent professionals including 3 dedicated IT professionals from our own team.

The efforts we had to put on this were massive…! Huge statistical database containing past election data and voter patterns together with ground level pre-election polling data were carefully analyzed with complex statistical tools.

Here is a summary of the results:


Registered
Voters in 2010
Expected total
polled
Rejected
Votes
Valid
Votes
Sarath
Fonseka
Mahinda
Rajapaksa
Colombo 1,521,854 1,168,023 11,563 1,156,460 557,974 598,486
Gampaha 1,474,464 1,190,040 11,900 1,178,140 512,387 665,753
Kalutara 813,233 662,216 6,622 655,594 251,363 404,231
Batticaloa 333,644 161,851 2,428 159,423 72,543 86,880
Ampara 420,835 305,947 3,365 302,582 151,410 151,172
Trincomalee 241,133 153,939 2,001 151,938 79,468 72,470
Anuradhapura 579,261 457,500 4,575 452,925 199,470 253,455
Polonnaruwa 280,337 225,475 2,255 223,220 101,664 121,556
Jaffna 721,359 284,026 4,260 279,766 208,092 71,674
Vanni 266,975 140,377 2,106 138,271 104,317 33,954
Kandy 978,456 779,340 7,793 771,547 356,043 415,504
Matale 342,684 270,857 2,979 267,878 103,455 164,423
Nuwara Eliya 457,137 369,275 5,170 364,105 153,781 210,324
Badulla 574,814 467,266 6,074 461,192 202,000 259,192
Monaragala 300,642 244,001 3,416 240,585 90,053 150,532
Kegalle 613,938 498,456 4,985 493,471 186,345 307,126
Ratnapura 734,651 616,960 6,170 610,790 245,662 365,128
Kurunegala 1,183,649 952,956 9,339 943,617 379,482 564,135
Puttalam 495,575 355,228 4,618 350,610 152,339 198,271
Galle 761,815 624,231 6,117 618,114 233,866 384,248
Matara 578,858 468,643 4,593 464,050 185,868 278,182
Hambantota 421,186 342,888 4,458 338,430 123,638 214,792
Total 10,622,707 4,651,219 5,971,488
Percentage 43.79% 56.21%

NOTE: Above data was based on the past election data and the present ground level opinions of the Sri Lankan citizens.

Our special thanks to everyone who contributed for this poll at the ground level and provided their genuine opinion.

-SL Elections 2010 Team

Registered
Voters in 2010
Expected total
polled
Rejected
Votes
Valid
Votes
Sarath
Fonseka
Mahinda
Rajapaksa
Colombo 1,521,854 1,168,023 11,563 1,156,460 557,974 598,486
Gampaha 1,474,464 1,190,040 11,900 1,178,140 512,387 665,753
Kalutara 813,233 662,216 6,622 655,594 251,363 404,231
Batticaloa 333,644 161,851 2,428 159,423 72,543 86,880
Ampara 420,835 305,947 3,365 302,582 151,410 151,172
Trincomalee 241,133 153,939 2,001 151,938 79,468 72,470
Anuradhapura 579,261 457,500 4,575 452,925 199,470 253,455
Polonnaruwa 280,337 225,475 2,255 223,220 101,664 121,556
Jaffna 721,359 284,026 4,260 279,766 208,092 71,674
Vanni 266,975 140,377 2,106 138,271 104,317 33,954
Kandy 978,456 779,340 7,793 771,547 356,043 415,504
Matale 342,684 270,857 2,979 267,878 103,455 164,423
Nuwara Eliya 457,137 369,275 5,170 364,105 153,781 210,324
Badulla 574,814 467,266 6,074 461,192 202,000 259,192
Monaragala 300,642 244,001 3,416 240,585 90,053 150,532
Kegalle 613,938 498,456 4,985 493,471 186,345 307,126
Ratnapura 734,651 616,960 6,170 610,790 245,662 365,128
Kurunegala 1,183,649 952,956 9,339 943,617 379,482 564,135
Puttalam 495,575 355,228 4,618 350,610 152,339 198,271
Galle 761,815 624,231 6,117 618,114 233,866 384,248
Matara 578,858 468,643 4,593 464,050 185,868 278,182
Hambantota 421,186 342,888 4,458 338,430 123,638 214,792
Total 10,622,707 4,651,219 5,971,488
Percentage 43.79% 56.21%

23 Comments For This Post

  1. Nirmal Kalawage Says:

    Ko results? We are waiting!!!!!!………………..?????
    Nirmal

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  2. Nirmal Kalawage Says:

    Elama ela..!! Jaya weva..!! We will win in style
    Nirmal

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  3. Tania M Says:

    I dont believe this!!! This cant be true..! Lets wait till the results come out..! Your numbers will be wrong..!

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  4. Senaka Says:

    MR should get more than this..!! He should get at least 60% You will see he real results with 60% or above for MR..! Good stuff..!!

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  5. Diana Says:

    I also think we can expect more than this for President Rajapakshe. In my humble opinion he deserves more than this from true Sri Lankans
    -Diana

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  6. ravi Says:

    From what i heard from some independent analysis President Rajapaksa would get more than 65% but this shows only 56%. Probably he’ll get at least more than 60%. Specially considering the support of the people in North and East despite the claims by UNP+JVP on their influence.

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  7. Sarathi Ratnayake Says:

    i think it ll be even betr for President….it ll close to 60%
    suba anagathayak Sri Lanka

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  8. diuni Says:

    these figures are wrong.the whole colombo is with sf.let’s see the difference!!!!!!!!

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  9. Nishantha Says:

    I think once the final result comes, you will see there should be a inter change in last two colomns i.e. SF 56% & MR 44% let’s wait and see.

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  10. Fazli Sameer Says:

    Its IMPOSSIBLE that MR can get more votes than SF in COLOMBO, GAMPAHA, KALUTARA, EASTERN & NORTHERN PROVINCES. The Poill is flawed totally.

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  11. Fazli Sameer Says:

    DISTRICT SF MR
    Colombo 657,578 539,732
    Gampaha 567,781 609,121
    Kalutara 305,974 332,156
    Batti 127,007 109,779
    Ampara 186,822 128,540
    Trinco 119,518 58,475
    A’pura 204,279 277,256
    P’naruwa 103,031 115,445
    Jaffna 249,228 53,278
    Vanni 119,989 34,453
    Kandy 351,356 389,320
    Matale 126,097 136,845
    N’Eliya 199,807 147,895
    Badulla 218,295 225,095
    M’gala 102,276 131,438
    Kegalle 229,365 245,267
    R’pura 282,290 306,662
    K’gala 434,516 479,173
    Puttalam 193,226 176,140
    Galle 289,937 319,210
    Matara 211,055 243,355
    H’tota 144,545 190,096
    5,462,237 5,160,766
    50.81% 48.00%

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  12. ravi Says:

    SF loosing colombo, kandy, nuwara-eliya….. IMPOSSIBLE

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  13. Nimal Says:

    This good He should be the winner. I think it has to be more than 56 %

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  14. avatar Says:

    SF is a fraud. Why has he not voted ? He is a citizen of USA and not of SL. JVP & UNP have to apologize to the people for bringing this kallathoni forward. Mangala, the pupeteer should be made to hang…

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  15. Bavatar Says:

    Utter nonsense… Having the ryt of becomin the president of SL for SF, how com havin not the ryt of votin by SF?

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  16. Ishanka Says:

    If we get this kind of result, it is better for All. But we wish more than this to MR. The result of this election will be precedent of all leaders of world against Terrorism.

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  17. Ms Jaan Mohamed Says:

    Is that true? SF has no vote in SL

    Well being a SL expat , I know once I get the PR elsewhere I need to maintain the citizen ship in Sri lanka and there are some legal requirements.

    How can he be a candidate if he is not a citizen ???
    He (SARATH) is a real fake

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  18. amila Says:

    SF loosing colombo & kandy, I dnt tnk so

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  19. Fazli Sameer Says:

    Looks like Fonny has won!
    Thank God

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  20. suresh Says:

    ya me too colombo and kandy should go for SF.

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  21. Dompe Mama - Melbourne Says:

    I don’t care who comes but look after the people as now the main Issue with the terrorist problem is over. If these clowns from both sides have brains they should work together, and every body will make a buck…

    It is sad to see SL’s politics is focus on feeling pockets only .

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  22. Mufazir Says:

    Joyadeva Joyadeva

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  23. s.m.sadik Says:

    i dont care who comes but peoples want a peasfull and happy life who can give?

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